This book presents a detailed projection model to estimate future demand for care among older people. Using Poland as a case study, the author examines the impact of population ageing and changes in intergenerational relations on informal care provision. The book provides a comprehensive analysis of the primary factors driving the need for care: health status and living arrangements, with special attention given to the care needs of older persons living alone. The author employs a dynamic analytical approach that combines multi-state modelling and microsimulation with traditional macro-level population projections. As a result, this study provides new data points that can contribute to the development of a well-informed policy for managing care transfers in the future.
Demographic change in developed countries and its consequences for care for older people – Living arrangements and health of older people in Poland – The multistate model for estimation of health and living arrangements transition rates of older people – Projections of demand for care among older people in Poland
Berlin, Bruxelles, Chennai, Lausanne, New York, Oxford, 2024. 256 pp., 49 fig. b/w, 28 tables.
Wojciech Łątkowski is an Assistant Professor at the SGH Warsaw School of Economics. His areas of study include demography, with a particular focus on population projections and intergenerational relations, as well as the labour market.
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